New export study demonstrates success of open skies and cites “fundamental flaws” in the big three U.S. carriers’ Report

Published on : Friday, May 22, 2015

download (2)Despite claims by the Big Three U.S. airlines, the market for air travel from the U.S. to the Indian Sub-Continent has expanded significantly from 2009 to 2014 with U.S. airlines and their European partners actually flying 223,000 more passengers during that period. This is only one of a series of U.S. airline claims challenged and debunked in a new report released today by Etihad Airways.

The research, undertaken by the leading U.S.-based consultancy Edgeworth Economics, found that on routes where Etihad Airways competes with the three largest U.S. carriers and their global alliance partners, these airlines actually carried more passengers, despite having lost market share on certain routes.

Specific examples include:

· Passenger numbers for the Big Three and their global alliances actually increased by 18 per cent, or an additional 223,000 passengers, despite losing 4.4 percentage points in market share for economy passengers between the U.S. and the Indian Sub-Continent (I.S.C.) between 2009 and 2014.

· Similarly, for premium passengers between the U.S. and the I.S.C. for the same period, the actual passengers carried by the carriers and their alliance partners increased by 27 per cent, or over 33,000 although their market share decreased by 12.5 percentage points.
The report also analyses Etihad Airways’ pricing on the routes on which the airline competes with the three U.S. carriers and their global alliance partners. It found that Etihad Airways’ prices are competitive, therefore contradicting their claims that Etihad Airways is anti-competitive.

The Edgeworth Report, commissioned by Etihad Airways, also disproves their claims that Gulf carriers have put “excessive capacity” into the market. The Edgeworth Report found that these simplistic claims do not stand up to economic scrutiny, as the markets in which Etihad Airways operates have much higher average rates of economic growth than the global average, which in turn, drove a higher demand for air services. The Edgeworth Report also identified other considerations such as pent-up demand due to underservicing by U.S. carriers.

Finally, in addition to assessing the claims in the Open Skies Report, Edgeworth also analysed claims made in a recent economic report published by Compass Lexecon on behalf of these carriers.

Edgeworth found that the Compass Lexecon Report is “fundamentally flawed” and “ignores key evidence” as it contains two unsupported assumptions: (i) the report treats as an accepted fact that Etihad Airways and other Gulf carriers have received subsidies, a point which has merely been asserted by the U.S. carriers but is the subject of the ongoing Government docket process; and (ii) that the Big Three essentially “own” traffic on existing routes and Gulf carriers are only entitled to compete for traffic if they can prove they have “stimulated” this traffic. The Compass Lexecon report also establishes no “causal link” between any alleged subsidies and any claimed harm to the U.S. airlines

Certain statements in the Compass Lexecon report are also directly contradictory to previous statements and testimony that Compass Lexecon has presented on behalf of these same three U.S. carriers.

The Compass Lexecon Report fails to establish any actual harm caused by the Gulf carriers to U.S. carriers, whereas the Edgeworth Report demonstrates that competition has led to overall market growth and increased consumer choice.

Commenting on the Edgeworth Economics findings, Etihad Airways’ Chief Strategy and Planning Officer, Kevin Knight, said: “The claims made by the three U. S. carriers that Etihad Airways and other Gulf carriers are damaging their business and taking ’their’ passengers, are not only false, but also arrogant. They do not ‘own’ these passengers, nor do they do have a right to them. At Etihad Airways, we believe we must earn the business of our guests by offering the best value and product for their money, along with the most convenient service.”

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