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Published on : Thursday, November 21, 2013
According to the World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC), the global Travel & Tourism industry will develop slightly slower in 2013 than previously indicated. The world economy will be 2.9% in 2013, down from the 3.2% growth initially forecast in February of this year.
The decline in growth in Travel & Tourism is driven by reduced investment growth in the economy as a whole, affecting the industry and slowing global economic growth. Oxford Economics, WTTC’s research partner forecasts global economic growth to be 2.1% in 2013, a slight downgrade from the 2.4% forecast at the start of the year.
“Travel & Tourism is a growth industry which generates 9% of global GDP and supports 260 million jobs, or 1 in 11 of the world’s jobs. In 2013, Travel & Tourism total contribution to GDP is expected to grow at 2.9% according to WTTC’s latest estimates. This is lower than our previous forecasts but a much higher level of growth than the 2.1% expected for the global economy and continues to show the strength and resilience of the Travel & Tourism industry,” said David Scowsill, President & CEO, WTTC.
The latest research includes:International tourism expenditure exceeded WTTC expectations with estimated growth of 4.0% in 2013, compared with our previous estimate of 3.1%.Travel & Tourism in South East Asia leads the world with estimated growth of 8.9%; an upgrade from the 6.8% growth predicted at the start of the year, and bucking the trend in many other regions of downward revisions.
Investment spending for the total global economy has been revised down, due in a large part to weaker confidence aggravated by the developments in the US and cooling growth in China. Although the Travel & Tourism investment revision from 4.2% to 3.1% is significant, Travel & Tourism investment has not been downgraded as much as the overall economy due to other positive Travel & Tourism indicators.
Long term growth forecasts of 4.2% per annum growth over the ten years to 2023 are retained as demand from and within emerging markets will continue to rise in significance. Travel & Tourism will continue to grow, outpace growth of the wider economy, and remain a leading generator of jobs.
The World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) is the global authority on the economic and social contribution of Travel & Tourism. It promotes sustainable growth for the industry, working with governments and international institutions to create jobs, to drive exports and to generate prosperity. Travel & Tourism accounts for 255 million jobs globally. For more than 20 years, the World Travel & Tourism Council has been the voice of this industry globally.