Cancun Surpasses Punta Cana and Aruba as the Number One Winter Sun Destination for US Travelers in 2025-26, Leading a Record-Breaking Surge in Holiday Travel to Mexico’s Caribbean

Published on December 12, 2025

As the winter months approach, a major shift in U.S. holiday travel trends has emerged. Cancun, a tropical haven in Mexico’s Caribbean, has surged to the top of the list as the most popular international winter sun destination for American travelers in 2025-26. This exciting revelation comes from AAA’s latest travel forecast, which predicts record-breaking travel volumes during the year-end holiday period from December 20 through January 1. With a projected 122.4 million Americans expected to hit the road or board flights, this winter is shaping up to be the busiest travel season in recent history. Cancun is now the go-to destination for Americans seeking warm weather, sunshine, and a chance to unwind in paradise.

AAA’s year-end travel report emphasizes that sunny beach destinations, especially those located in the Caribbean and Mexico, will dominate travelers’ plans, and Cancun is taking the top spot, beating out long-time favorites like Punta Cana and Aruba. It’s a reflection of the ongoing consumer demand for easy-to-reach, picturesque locales that provide a mix of luxurious resorts, cultural experiences, and scenic beauty. Cancun’s status as Mexico’s tourism hub is expected to remain solidified as it continues to draw tourists from around the world.

Record Travel Volumes Expected Despite Challenges

The U.S. holiday travel forecast for 2025 paints a picture of a travel market that is not just surviving but thriving. Despite rising prices and seasonal challenges, Americans are more eager than ever to travel, particularly to places like Cancun that offer a sunny escape. According to AAA’s travel analysts, 122.4 million Americans are expected to travel at least 50 miles from home during the peak holiday period — marking a 2.2% increase over last year’s already record-breaking travel numbers. This sharp uptick in travel volume underscores the resilience of the U.S. travel industry, even amid the uncertainties brought about by inflation and high demand.

Interestingly, Cancun’s popularity doesn’t just stem from its world-renowned beaches or luxury resorts; it is also driven by the sheer accessibility of the destination. Cancun’s international airport connects it to major U.S. cities, with direct flights from hubs like Miami, Orlando, and Fort Lauderdale. This makes it an attractive option for travelers looking for a quick getaway without the hassle of long travel times or complicated visa processes. Cancun has become synonymous with affordable luxury for many, offering visitors everything from all-inclusive packages to adventure activities like zip-lining, archaeological site tours, and snorkeling in the crystal-clear waters of the Caribbean.

Why Cancun is the Preferred Choice

The allure of Cancun lies in its ability to cater to a wide range of travelers, from those seeking complete relaxation on the beach to those looking for adventure and cultural experiences. The city’s hotel infrastructure is another contributing factor, with a variety of options ranging from luxurious resorts to affordable accommodations, making it accessible to a broad audience. Whether it’s lounging by the pool or visiting Mayan ruins, Cancun provides something for everyone.

The destination’s tourism boom is not an isolated trend. AAA’s booking patterns reveal that a significant portion of Americans are opting for warm weather getaways this year, with Cancun at the forefront. The travel agency’s data shows a higher-than-expected preference for international beach resorts, and Cancun’s mix of sun, sea, and sand continues to captivate travelers. According to local tourism experts, “When Americans decide to chase winter sun, they overwhelmingly pick Cancun.” This statement reflects not just AAA data but the broader cultural shift towards sunny getaways during the winter months.

U.S. Domestic Travel Trends Also Reflect a Desire for Warmth

While Cancun is taking the crown for international travel, domestic sunny destinations such as Florida’s Orlando, Fort Lauderdale, and Miami also rank high on the list of top choices for U.S. travelers. According to AAA, Florida remains one of the top states for winter travel, as families and vacationers alike flock to its beaches, theme parks, and tropical climate. This aligns with a broader pattern: Americans are choosing to trade cold weather for warm beaches and sunny skies — both in the U.S. and abroad.

Interestingly, this year also marks a significant milestone in the world of air travel. AAA reports that over 8 million Americans are expected to fly domestically during the holiday season, surpassing the 8 million mark for the first time in history. This is testament to the strength of the U.S. aviation sector, which has weathered the storms of rising fuel prices, and the ongoing resurgence in air travel demand.

Cancun’s Rising Popularity Comes With Some Challenges

As travel to Cancun reaches new heights, the destination is seeing its hotel inventories and flight capacities tighten, especially during the peak holiday period. With increasing demand, it’s becoming more difficult to secure a room or a seat on a flight to Cancun as the season progresses. For travelers planning to visit, it is highly recommended to book early and secure accommodations in advance to avoid the frustration of limited availability.

Moreover, Cancun’s growing popularity also means that travelers may face higher costs, especially for last-minute bookings. Resort prices, flight prices, and rental cars can see sharp increases as the winter peak approaches. Despite these challenges, Cancun remains an appealing choice for those seeking affordable luxury, beachfront relaxation, and a tropical escape from the cold.

Making the Most of Cancun’s Winter Sun Appeal

For anyone looking to experience Cancun’s sun-soaked beaches and vibrant atmosphere this winter, early planning is key. Travel experts strongly advise early booking, not just for accommodations, but also for activities, tours, and other logistics. Given the expected surge in demand, ensuring a seamless travel experience may require some foresight. Fortunately, with the right planning, travelers can still enjoy Cancun’s laid-back charm and festive holiday atmosphere, making it the ultimate winter escape.

As Americans flock to Cancun for their winter getaway, the destination is poised to continue its reign as the top winter sun spot for U.S. travelers. AAA’s travel forecast signals a booming year for holiday travel, as Cancun leads the way in offering an unforgettable combination of tropical beauty, cultural experiences, and sun-filled days. Whether for relaxation or adventure, Cancun is set to be the top choice for those seeking an escape from the winter chill.