Cuba Joins Mexico and US in Facing Decline as Popular Winter Getaways for Canadians Amid Security Concerns and Geopolitical Tensions

Published on February 26, 2026

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Cuba has now joined Mexico and the United States in experiencing a decline as a preferred winter destination for Canadian travelers. This shift is driven by escalating security concerns and geopolitical tensions that are affecting the once-popular spots. In Cuba, the U.S. oil blockade has triggered a food and energy crisis, destabilizing the nation. Mexico, already struggling with cartel violence and rising security issues, has seen an increase in travel advisories, leading many Canadians to rethink their trips. Political tensions between Canada and the U.S., including trade disputes and tariffs, have also contributed to a 25% drop in Canadian visits. As a result, Canadians are now opting for safer alternatives, such as other Caribbean islands, Central American countries, and even more distant destinations, marking a major shift in their travel habits.

For years, Canada’s snowbirds have flocked to warm destinations like Mexico, Cuba, and Florida to escape the harsh winters. However, recent developments, including rising cartel violence in Mexico, the U.S. blockade on Cuba, and ongoing tensions between Canada and the U.S., are causing these long-standing favorites to lose their appeal, prompting Canadians to reconsider their vacation plans.

One major development occurred recently when Mexican security forces killed a notorious cartel leader in a violent confrontation. This action triggered a series of retaliatory attacks across the state of Jalisco, resulting in a tragic loss of life. In response, the Canadian government issued shelter-in-place orders for citizens in affected areas, particularly in western Mexico, while several airlines rescheduled or canceled flights to and from the Puerto Vallarta International Airport. Although flight operations are expected to resume, safety concerns have many Canadian travelers exploring new options.

This incident, combined with ongoing geopolitical challenges, has created a shift in travel patterns. Recent data from Global Affairs Canada reveals that three of the top five international destinations for Canadians are now facing changing trends. The growing uncertainty surrounding travel to Mexico may contribute to this shift, as Canadian sunseekers increasingly seek alternatives.

The Impact of U.S. Relations, Cuba’s Crisis, and Mexico’s Security Issues

The impact of U.S.-Canada relations has been a significant factor in altering Canadian travel habits. A series of tariffs and political tensions with the U.S. have led many Canadians to reconsider their travel destinations. According to the latest Statistics Canada report, return trips to the U.S. dropped by 25% in 2025 compared to 2024 levels, signaling a shift away from the southern neighbor.

Meanwhile, Cuba is facing an ongoing energy and food crisis due to the U.S.-imposed oil blockade. This situation has forced major Canadian airlines, including Air Canada and WestJet, to cancel flights to the island nation. Air Canada, for example, recently announced that it would halt bookings to Cuba until at least April 30.

In Mexico, major airlines have temporarily suspended flights due to safety concerns following the cartel violence. However, with a return to normal operations expected soon, flights from Montreal, Toronto, and Vancouver to Puerto Vallarta are scheduled to resume. Mexico’s ongoing security concerns have forced many Canadians to re-evaluate their holiday options, considering other destinations that offer sunny getaways without the added risks.

The New Alternatives for Canadian Travelers

For Canadians looking for alternative sunny destinations, there are a variety of Caribbean islands and Central American countries that could fit the bill. Travel experts suggest that places like the Dominican Republic, Costa Rica, Jamaica, and Saint Kitts are becoming more popular. These destinations offer similar weather and beach resorts, but they may come with a higher price tag and fewer all-inclusive options compared to Mexico or Cuba.

Some Canadians have even begun to explore destinations further afield, including Bali, Thailand, and Vietnam. While these options involve long-haul flights, they offer excellent value for money, with the cost of a 10-night stay in a five-star hotel in Bali often being comparable to a week at a top resort in Jamaica.

For those who still want to visit Mexico but prefer more secure locations, Cancun, located on the eastern coast of the country, remains a popular destination. Cancun is approximately 32 hours away by car from areas experiencing heightened violence, and flights to the region are operating smoothly. Cancun’s hotel zone is well-patrolled by security forces, and many travelers report feeling safe within these areas.

The Changing Trends in Canadian Travel Preferences

As the travel industry adapts to new challenges, Canadians are exploring different options. According to experts, the shift in travel patterns is not due to a decrease in demand for vacations, but rather due to a regional substitution. While some Canadians may choose to avoid Mexico or Cuba due to safety concerns, the broader demand for warm-weather destinations in the Caribbean and beyond is unlikely to fade.

Safety remains a top priority for Canadian travelers. While political instability and cartel violence have driven some Canadians away from certain destinations, others are finding alternatives in countries like Portugal, Japan, and Barbados. These destinations, which are known for their security and appeal, are seeing an uptick in interest as Canadians search for more stable travel options.

The Role of Security in Canadian Travel

Tourism experts agree that safety and security are key drivers of Canadian travel decisions. According to a tourism professor, while the threats facing Mexico and Cuba may be perceived rather than real, Canadians tend to choose destinations that offer peace of mind. Regions such as the Caribbean are seeing an increase in popularity, with travelers opting for islands that are known for their stability and safety.

Many Canadians are expected to pivot to destinations like St. Kitts and Nevis, Barbados, and the Dominican Republic. These countries are well-positioned to cater to the changing preferences of Canadian travelers, offering a mix of sun, security, and luxury experiences.

The Bottom Line

Cuba joins Mexico and the US in facing a decline as popular winter getaways for Canadians due to rising security concerns, cartel violence, political tensions, and the ongoing US blockade on Cuba, prompting travelers to seek safer alternatives.

In conclusion, while Mexico and Cuba have long been popular vacation spots for Canadians, shifting geopolitical dynamics and safety concerns are causing some travelers to reconsider their options. As new destinations gain traction, Canadians are becoming more flexible in their travel choices, embracing regions that offer a secure and enjoyable holiday experience. Whether opting for Caribbean islands or more far-flung locations in Asia, the demand for travel remains strong, with safety and security continuing to guide Canadian decisions.