Published on November 22, 2025

Relations between Beijing and Tokyo hit a nadir following the diplomatic remarks concerning Taiwan by Tokyo’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and are now exacerbating the bilateral trade conflict and the suspension of trade. Disruptions to business and trade, and the conflict’s escalation impose profound costs to the economies and the professed diplomatic standing of both nations; the fallout to and from the tourism industry are significantly the most negative.
The tension between China and Japan first flared when Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi made a statement on November 7, 2025, regarding Taiwan’s security. In a parliamentary session, Takaichi suggested that Japan would respond militarily if China were to impose a naval blockade or launch military action against Taiwan. Her comments, which were notably more assertive than those of previous Japanese leaders, sparked immediate protests from China. Beijing viewed the remarks as a threat and demanded a retraction.
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The issue quickly escalated, with China accusing Japan of meddling in Chinese affairs, particularly regarding Taiwan, which Beijing insists is an integral part of its territory. Tensions reached a boiling point when China brought the matter to the United Nations, warning that any Japanese military intervention would be seen as an act of aggression. Diplomatic exchanges have failed to calm the situation, and the dispute has now extended beyond politics and into the realms of trade and tourism.
In retaliation to Japan’s comments, China has launched a multifaceted diplomatic and economic offensive. On November 14, China imposed a no-travel advisory for Japan, signalling a direct assault on Japan’s vital tourism sector. This advisory has come at a particularly inopportune time for Japan, as it has been experiencing a tourism revival with millions of Chinese visitors flocking to the country. By discouraging Chinese nationals from visiting Japan, China has made it clear that it views Japan’s position on Taiwan as a serious provocation.
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Chinese tourists, who contributed significantly to Japan’s tourism industry in recent years, are now being dissuaded from visiting. This shift in travel patterns is expected to have a profound impact on Japan’s economy, especially considering that tourism from China accounted for a large percentage of overall foreign visitors. Reports indicate that in 2024 alone, approximately 7.5 million Chinese nationals visited Japan, but now, with the diplomatic spat deepening, many of these travelers are reconsidering their plans to visit.
China’s tourism advisory is just one element of a larger economic battle. On November 15, several Chinese airlines offered free cancellations or changes for flights bound for Japan, further discouraging travel. At the same time, Chinese authorities have taken aim at Japan’s seafood industry, halting the importation of Japanese seafood products like scallops and sea cucumbers, both of which are popular in China.
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The impact of these trade disruptions is being felt across industries. Japanese businesses that rely on Chinese tourism, such as hotels, restaurants, and souvenir shops, are now grappling with an unexpected drop in revenue. With the tourism and hospitality sectors hit hard, small businesses that thrive on foreign visits, particularly from China, are facing significant financial strain.
Moreover, the ban on seafood exports will also cause ripple effects throughout Japan’s agricultural sector, especially among fishing communities in regions like Hokkaido. The move could decimate earnings for fishermen and seafood distributors, who depend on Chinese imports for a substantial part of their income. The return of trade restrictions seen during previous diplomatic tensions, such as the ban on Japanese food imports after the Fukushima disaster, signals the seriousness of Beijing’s intent to use economic leverage to pressure Japan into reconsidering its stance on Taiwan.
While the economic and trade ramifications are clear, the tourism sector is likely to remain one of the most visibly affected industries. The growing animosity between China and Japan, coupled with travel disruptions, has led to a drop in the number of Chinese tourists traveling to Japan. This, in turn, is likely to affect other sectors connected to tourism, including retail, transportation, and entertainment.
Travel agencies in Japan are already facing cancellations and lower bookings from Chinese clients, and many are worried about the long-term effects if the diplomatic standoff persists. Chinese nationals were once Japan’s largest foreign tourist group, contributing billions to Japan’s economy. The no-travel advisory, combined with the strain on diplomatic relations, has cast doubt on future travel trends between the two nations.
Adding to the complexity of the situation are territorial disputes over the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands, a group of uninhabited islands in the East China Sea. Japan and China both claim ownership of these islands, and clashes over their sovereignty have fueled nationalistic sentiments on both sides. Over the past week, China has ramped up patrols around these waters, further irritating Japan.
Chinese coast guard ships have been spotted within Japan’s territorial waters, leading to a sharp condemnation from Tokyo. Japan’s Foreign Ministry has voiced its concerns over the growing militarization of the region, which has exacerbated an already tense diplomatic environment. This territorial dispute, which has always been a flashpoint between the two nations, is now being used as another tool of diplomatic pressure.
The ongoing China-Japan conflict highlights the broader geopolitical struggle in East Asia, especially concerning Taiwan’s status. With Taiwan seen as a key player in the region’s security dynamics, any military escalation in the Taiwan Strait could have far-reaching consequences for regional stability. Japan’s increasing alignment with Taiwan, as evidenced by Prime Minister Takaichi’s recent remarks, further strains relations with Beijing, which views any external intervention in Taiwan as a direct threat to its sovereignty.
The United States, a key ally of Japan and Taiwan, has been closely monitoring the situation, and its role in any future conflicts in the region remains uncertain. For now, the geopolitical struggle over Taiwan is unfolding not just in military terms, but in the economic and diplomatic spheres as well. Both China and Japan are engaged in a complex dance of trade wars, diplomatic protests, and public rhetoric, with tourism emerging as a casualty of the conflict.
The diplomatic conflict between China and Japan regarding Taiwan seems to be far from over. What began as a disagreement over Taiwan’s security has rapidly escalated into a full-blown economic and trade battle, with tourism and business transactions being adversely affected. The impact of the conflict is being felt in many sectors, especially in the tourism industry, where China’s travel restrictions and other retaliatory actions are threatening to drain Japan’s tourism sector.
Japan will have to manage the escalating diplomatic conflict over Taiwan’s security, Allied Taiwan’s economic relations with China, and a stifling tourism sector. Anticipate advancing interests from both nations to argue the dominant position in the area in the subsequent months.
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