Restaurant Cooks, Bartenders, and Chefs Lead the Surge in US Hospitality Salary Growth Through 2034

Published on December 12, 2025

By: Tuhin Sarkar

The U.S. hospitality sector is witnessing unprecedented salary growth, with restaurant cooks, chefs, and bartenders leading the charge. According to the November 2025 report, the fastest job growth in the culinary and hospitality sectors is expected in restaurant cooks, with a projected 15% growth rate in the next decade. This remarkable surge in job demand comes alongside impressive salary projections. From chefs and head cooks to lodging managers, the industry is evolving rapidly, creating vast opportunities for new talent and skilled professionals alike. By 2034, many hospitality professionals are set to see substantial salary increases, especially in key positions like chefs, food service managers, and lodging managers.

Chefs and Head Cooks: Leading the Charge in Hospitality Growth
Chefs and head cooks are experiencing one of the most significant shifts in hospitality careers, with a 7% growth rate projected through 2034. With over 24,000 annual openings created by retirements and transitions, the opportunities in this field are expanding rapidly. The median salary, which currently stands at $60.9K, is set to rise to $85.4K by 2034. This growth highlights the industry’s increasing reliance on skilled chefs, with higher wages becoming a competitive advantage in the sector. As the food service industry continues to thrive, chefs will enjoy greater recognition and pay, reflecting the essential role they play in the culinary experience.

Food Service Managers: Rising Demand for Skilled Leaders
Food service managers are experiencing robust growth, projected at 6% through 2034, above the national average. The demand for experienced managers is driven by the expanding size and complexity of food service operations, including restaurants, hotels, and catering services. Currently, food service managers earn a median salary of $65K, but by 2034, this figure is expected to rise to over $91K. As the sector grows, so too does the competition for talented individuals in managerial roles. With approximately 42,000 annual openings, this profession offers steady opportunities and lucrative potential, making it an appealing career choice in the hospitality industry.

Lodging Managers: Strong Salary Growth Despite Modest Job Growth
Lodging managers are anticipated to see more modest growth at 3% through 2034. The hotel sector is relatively mature, with fewer positions available compared to other hospitality roles. However, the field remains competitive, with only about 52,000 lodging manager jobs nationwide. The current median salary is $68K, but by 2034, this is expected to rise to nearly $107K. While job growth is limited, career advancement in this area requires strategic management and skill development. Lodging managers who excel can expect lucrative salaries, especially as demand for high-quality service in hospitality establishments remains strong.

Bartenders: High Growth and Salary Potential for Entry-Level Roles
Bartenders are enjoying one of the highest salary growth rates in the industry, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.2% over the last five years. Projected job growth for bartenders is around 6% through 2034, with over 130,000 annual openings, primarily driven by high turnover. The median base pay is currently $33.5K annually, with the potential to rise to over $67K by 2034. While entry barriers are low, bartending offers vast earning potential through tips, especially in busy establishments. The profession’s accessibility, along with a growing demand for skilled bartenders, ensures that this role will continue to thrive in the coming years.

Bakers: Steady Growth and Strong Opportunities in the Bakery Sector
Bakers are also poised for growth, with job opportunities expected to increase by 6% through 2034. Approximately 40,000 annual job openings are anticipated, driven by turnover in retail bakery positions. Median pay currently stands at $36.6K and is projected to rise to $64K by 2034. The baking profession offers consistent demand, particularly in retail and artisanal bakeries, where skilled workers are needed to meet consumer preferences for high-quality baked goods. As the bakery industry continues to expand, bakers will benefit from competitive salaries and job security, making it an attractive career path for culinary professionals.

Conclusion: A Thriving Culinary and Hospitality Industry with Promising Career Growth
The future of the culinary and hospitality industry looks incredibly promising, with robust job growth and salary increases across multiple sectors. From chefs and head cooks to bartenders and bakers, the demand for skilled professionals is on the rise. With competitive salaries and ample opportunities for career advancement, the hospitality industry offers an appealing career path for those looking to make their mark in this dynamic field. As the sector continues to evolve, culinary professionals will play a critical role in shaping the future of hospitality, with higher wages and better job security making this an excellent time to join the industry.