UK Bank Holiday Forecast: Heat, Travel Disruptions, and the Impact of Hurricane Erin’s Remnants

Published on August 24, 2025

This August bank holiday weekend, the UK will experience an unusual blend of sunny weather and impending stormy conditions. According to forecasts from the Met Office, parts of the country could reach temperatures of 30°C on Monday, providing a sunny finish to the holiday. However, this warm weather will soon give way to strong winds, rain, and unsettled conditions, especially by midweek. With disruptions to travel and events planned across the UK, it’s crucial for travelers to stay informed and prepared.

Unprecedented Heat on Bank Holiday Monday

On Monday, parts of the UK, particularly in the Midlands, are expected to see some of the highest temperatures of the summer. In some areas, temperatures could soar to 29-30°C, offering a brief spell of summer sunshine before the weather takes a turn. Wales, too, is likely to experience its hottest late August Bank Holiday on record, with temperatures possibly reaching 27°C, surpassing the previous record of 26.5°C set in 1991. This makes the weekend an excellent opportunity for those attending festivals or spending time outdoors, including the Notting Hill Carnival, Reading and Leeds festivals, and All Points East in London’s Victoria Park.

The warm temperatures will be a welcome sight for the two million people expected at the Notting Hill Carnival. Travelers and festivalgoers can expect dry, sunny conditions for the start of the weekend, perfect for outdoor events and social gatherings. However, those planning outdoor activities in the coming days should be mindful that the sunny conditions will not last.

Weather to Change Quickly with the Arrival of Hurricane Erin’s Remnants

By Tuesday, however, the weather is forecast to change dramatically. The remnants of Hurricane Erin, which has weakened significantly after impacting the Caribbean and the east coast of the US, are expected to bring more unsettled conditions to the UK. Northern Ireland will first feel the effects of this weather system, with heavy rain and strong winds moving southwards across the rest of the country.

While the southern parts of the UK, particularly in London and southern England, may still experience dry but cloudy conditions with temperatures around 26°C, the majority of the country will begin to see a marked shift in weather. The Midlands, currently basking in the sunshine, will soon face strong winds and heavy rain, potentially leading to flooding in certain areas.

Travel Disruptions Expected with Holiday Weekend and Weather Change

While the weather provides a perfect opportunity for outdoor festivals, it also creates challenges for travelers. With the predicted weather changes and the ongoing strikes, the upcoming bank holiday could lead to considerable travel disruptions.

Train Strikes and Engineering Works

• The CrossCountry network will be on strike, leading to significant disruptions for travelers, especially those returning from events like the Leeds festival. Passengers are advised to check for alternative routes or adjust their travel plans.
• There will be no LNER trains in or out of London King’s Cross on Monday due to engineering works. Those planning to travel on this route should explore other options, including local train services or buses.

Advice for Holiday Travelers

• Check Travel Updates: Always monitor real-time travel updates to avoid delays and disruptions. Use apps like National Rail Enquiries for the latest information on train services.
• Prepare for Weather Shifts: As the weather is expected to change quickly, be sure to pack for both hot and rainy conditions. Umbrellas and sunscreen are essential.
• Use Public Transport Where Possible: If you can avoid driving, public transport might be more reliable, especially with high traffic expected during the busy holiday weekend.

Coastal and Rural Areas at Risk from Rough Seas and Wind

The RNLI (Royal National Lifeboat Institution) has warned beachgoers, especially those on coastal holidays, to exercise caution due to rough seas. With high winds expected to follow the heatwave, the risk of accidents on the coast will increase. For anyone planning to visit beaches, make sure to stick to lifeguarded areas and follow safety guidelines closely.

For those visiting rural areas, particularly in the north of England and in Scotland, strong winds and thunderstorms could lead to travel delays. Drivers should be prepared for poor visibility and challenging road conditions, particularly if traveling through hilly or exposed areas.

The Impact of Extreme Weather on UK Agriculture

While many will be enjoying the warm weather, the prolonged dry periods experienced this summer have had a significant impact on agriculture. The UK is facing one of its worst harvests on record due to the lack of rain, which has affected crop yields across the country. The Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board has reported that the shortfall of water in England is a major factor contributing to this agricultural crisis. This may lead to higher food prices in the coming months, which could further affect business operations, especially for those in the hospitality and food sectors.

Climate Change and Weather Extremes in the UK

The ongoing heatwaves this summer are becoming increasingly frequent and intense, with four summer heatwaves already recorded, following an unusually warm spring. Experts agree that climate change is likely contributing to the longer, more intense heat periods across the UK. While it’s difficult to attribute specific weather events to climate change directly, these rising temperatures are a clear signal that the UK’s weather patterns are shifting.

Quick Tips for Enjoying the Bank Holiday Weekend and Beyond

• Plan Ahead: For those heading to festivals or outdoor events, make sure to check the weather and travel updates before you go. Arrive early to avoid delays.
• Stay Hydrated and Protected from the Sun: With temperatures reaching up to 30°C in some areas, make sure to carry water, wear sunscreen, and stay in the shade when possible.
• Be Prepared for Rain and Wind: Pack an umbrella, raincoat, and sturdy footwear if you’re traveling after Tuesday when the weather is expected to turn.
• Monitor Weather Alerts: Keep an eye on the Met Office or other reliable sources for weather warnings, particularly if you plan to visit coastal or hilly regions.

Conclusion: Enjoy the Sunshine, But Stay Prepared for Change

As the UK enjoys a brief burst of summer sunshine, travelers and locals alike should take advantage of the warm weather while it lasts. With temperatures expected to reach up to 30°C on Monday, many will be out enjoying the last of the summer heat. However, with the remnants of Hurricane Erin set to bring rain and strong winds by Tuesday, it’s essential for travelers to stay informed and prepared for the change in weather. By keeping an eye on travel updates and weather forecasts, everyone can make the most of the bank holiday weekend while ensuring their safety.