TTW
TTW

San Francisco Goes Hand in Hand With Miami and More as Canada Hammers US Tourism With 42% Drop in Cross-Border Trips to Major Metropolitan Cities

Us tourism

Image generated with Ai

San Francisco goes hand in hand with Miami and more major US metropolitan cities as Canada hammers US tourism with a 42% drop in cross-border trips, driven by changing travel behaviour, economic uncertainty and shifting visitor preferences. The decline reflects a broader slowdown in Canadian visits across key American destinations, affecting leisure hotspots, business centres and seasonal travel markets. From Florida’s beach destinations to California’s technology hub, cities are facing weaker Canadian demand as travellers redirect spending towards other international destinations. The trend highlights how political tensions, tariffs, travel costs and evolving consumer choices are reshaping the Canada-US travel relationship, creating new challenges for the US tourism industry in 2026.

Myrtle Beach: Canadian Visits Plunge 65.4%

Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, recorded a striking 65.4% decline in Canadian visits, making it one of the clearest examples of the pullback. The beach destination has traditionally appealed to Canadian holidaymakers and seasonal visitors seeking warmer weather. Fewer Canadian visits potentially expose hotels, restaurants, golf courses, attractions and retailers to weaker spending from an important international market.

Yuma: Snowbird Market Takes a 62.3% Hit

Yuma, Arizona, saw Canadian visit activity fall 62.3%. Its warm winter climate makes the region particularly relevant to seasonal Canadian travel. The decline suggests the broader retreat is reaching traditional snowbird markets, where visitors can stay longer than conventional holidaymakers. Losing those extended stays can affect accommodation providers, restaurants, retailers and other businesses dependent on winter demand.

Panama City: Florida Destination Records 60.3% Decline

Panama City, Florida, experienced a 60.3% fall in Canadian visits, highlighting Florida’s exposure to changing Canadian travel behaviour. Beach destinations depend heavily on discretionary leisure spending, making them vulnerable when travellers reconsider US holidays. The decline also suggests Canadians are not merely reducing short border trips; some are cutting journeys to long-distance sunshine destinations deep inside the United States.

Advertisement

Advertisement

San Francisco: Canadian Weakness Reaches Tech and Business Travel

San Francisco, California, recorded a decline of more than 50% in Canadian visit activity. The University of Toronto researchers highlight San Francisco as particularly significant because the weakness appears to extend beyond tourism into business travel. As a major technology and financial centre, reduced Canadian corporate movement could affect hotels, restaurants, aviation and professional activity alongside conventional visitor spending.

Miami: Canadian Retreat Hits a Major Florida Tourism Powerhouse

Miami, Florida, also experienced a decline of more than 50% in Canadian visit activity. The finding is significant because South Florida traditionally attracts Canadians for beaches, cruises, winter escapes and longer seasonal stays. Reduced Canadian presence can therefore affect several layers of Miami’s visitor economy, including accommodation, dining, retail, entertainment and businesses connected with the cruise sector.

Grand Rapids: Tariffs Add Pressure to Canada-Linked Business Travel

Grand Rapids, Michigan, recorded the second-largest decline in visitation, according to the researchers, although the study does not provide the percentage in its accompanying text. Its automotive connections with Ontario make the decline particularly important. Researchers suggest tariffs could be contributing to reduced trade-related movement, demonstrating how Canada’s pullback extends beyond holidays into business activity and integrated cross-border supply chains.

Houston: Canadian Pullback Reaches Major Corporate Economy

Houston, Texas, is another large metropolitan economy where researchers identified substantial weakness. The study highlights Houston alongside San Francisco when discussing declining business-related travel linked to broader economic uncertainty. This matters because corporate visitors often generate high-value expenditure through hotels, flights, restaurants and meetings. Canada’s travel contraction can therefore affect American cities without those destinations being traditional Canadian holiday hotspots.

Advertisement

Advertisement

Fargo: Border-Region Travel Also Comes Under Pressure

Fargo, North Dakota, reportedly recorded an approximately 20% decline in Canadian activity. Its location near Manitoba makes cross-border movement important for shopping, business, leisure and short visits. Although its decline is considerably smaller than Myrtle Beach or Yuma, the economic implications can still matter because border-region businesses often rely on frequent Canadian trips rather than only conventional overnight tourism.

Canadian Travel Pullback Extends Far Beyond Tourism

The University of Toronto research shows that Canada’s retreat from US travel is broader than a simple fall in holiday bookings. Its mobile-device analysis found a 42% median decline in Canadian visits across US metropolitan areas, while Statistics Canada recorded a 25.4% fall in Canadian-resident return border crossings from the US in 2025. Canadians also changed where they spent their travel money. US travel spending fell $3.3 billion to $18.8 billion, while overseas visits increased 10.2% and overseas spending rose 17.5% to $31.3 billion. Leisure travel drove much of the substitution: Canadian leisure visits to the US fell 21.5%, while overseas leisure trips increased 12.2%. The evidence therefore suggests Canadians did not simply stop travelling—they redirected substantial demand elsewhere.

Tariffs and Political Tensions Add to the Cross-Border Shift

The travel downturn intensified as the Canada-US political and trade relationship deteriorated. Statistics Canada says Canadian travel sentiment shifted abruptly following the change in the US administration in early 2025 and the implementation of America First policies. As tariff threats intensified, Canadian return trips by automobile from the US fell 23% year on year in February 2025, while air travel dropped 13.3%. By March, automobile trips were down 31.9%, with same-day automobile travel plunging 36%. The University of Toronto research also points to tariffs—including the 25% tariff on automotive parts—as a possible factor behind reduced trade-related movement in industrial centres such as Grand Rapids. The weakness persisted into 2026: March trips remained 28% below March 2024 levels, illustrating how deeply cross-border travel patterns had changed.

US Metro Cities Hit by Canadian Travel Decline

US Metro / DestinationStateCanadian Visit TrendMain Market ExposedWhat Is Driving the Concern
Myrtle BeachSouth Carolina-65.4%Beach tourismMajor contraction in Canadian leisure presence
YumaArizona-62.3%SnowbirdsSeasonal Canadian travel weakness
Panama CityFlorida-60.3%Beach and winter tourismFlorida exposure to Canadian pullback
San FranciscoCaliforniaMore than -50%Tourism, tech, businessLeisure and business travel weakness
MiamiFloridaMore than -50%Tourism and snowbirdsReduced Canadian presence in major Florida market
Grand RapidsMichiganAmong steepest declinesAutomotive/businessCanada-US trade and tariff exposure
HoustonTexasSignificant declineCorporate/businessEconomic uncertainty affecting business travel
FargoNorth Dakota~20% decline reportedBorder/regional travelReduced cross-border mobility

San Francisco goes hand in hand with Miami and more in 2026 as Canada hammers US tourism with a 42% drop in cross-border trips to major US metropolitan cities, driven by changing travel behaviour, economic uncertainty, tariffs and shifting visitor preferences.

In conclusion, San Francisco goes hand in hand with Miami and more major US metropolitan cities as Canada hammers US tourism with a 42% drop in cross-border trips, reflecting a significant shift in Canadian travel patterns in 2026. The decline is linked to changing visitor preferences, economic uncertainty, tariff concerns, travel costs and a broader movement towards alternative international destinations. While the impact differs across cities, from leisure hubs to business centres, the fall in Canadian visits highlights the importance of this market for the US tourism economy. As Canada-US travel behaviour continues to evolve, major American destinations face the challenge of rebuilding demand and adapting to a more competitive global travel landscape.

Advertisement

Share On:

Advertisement

Advertisement

Gtranslate

PARTNERS

@

Subscribe to our Newsletters

I want to receive travel news and trade event updates from Travel And Tour World. I have read Travel And Tour World's Privacy Notice .