European Union Considers Suspending Visa Free Travel for Georgia After October 16 Elections Amid Political Tensions and Strained Relations

Image generated with Ai

In a major development that could impact thousands of Georgian citizens, the European Union is considering suspending the visa-free travel agreement with Georgia if violations related to the country’s upcoming October 16 parliamentary elections are found. This move, which could lead to significant diplomatic and economic consequences, comes in response to concerns over Georgia’s recent political trajectory, including allegations of authoritarianism and growing ties with Moscow.

Since the 2017 visa-free travel agreement, Georgian citizens have enjoyed the ability to travel to EU countries within the Schengen Area for up to six months annually without needing a visa. However, recent developments in Georgia’s political landscape have raised concerns in the European Union about the country’s commitment to democratic norms and values, prompting discussions on potentially revoking these privileges.

EU-Georgia Relations: From Cooperation to Strain

Relations between the EU and Georgia have seen significant deterioration over the past year. The ruling party, Georgian Dream, has introduced several controversial laws, sparking criticism both domestically and internationally. Among the most contentious is the “foreign agents” law, which requires organizations receiving substantial funding from abroad to be labeled as “foreign agents.” The law, reminiscent of similar legislation in Russia, gives Georgian authorities sweeping powers to monitor internal discussions within these organizations. Critics argue that this law mirrors the authoritarian policies of Moscow and is designed to stifle dissent and weaken civil society.

Furthermore, Georgia’s warming relations with Russia have also caused alarm within the EU, which views the former Soviet republic as an important partner in Eastern Europe. Georgia has long been regarded as a key country in the region, with ambitions of integrating more closely with Western institutions. However, the government’s recent policies have led to concerns that it is moving away from the pro-Western path and instead leaning towards authoritarianism.

The EU has made it clear that Georgia’s recent political shifts have not gone unnoticed. In June 2024, Paweł Herczyński, the EU Ambassador to Georgia, warned that the adoption of the foreign agents law might prompt EU member states to reconsider Georgia’s visa-free travel status.

Suspension of Visa-Free Travel: No Full Consensus Required

If the EU decides to suspend visa-free travel for Georgia, it does not require full consensus from all EU member states. According to Schengen.News portal, the approval of 15 EU countries would be sufficient to enact such a suspension. This process underscores the gravity of the situation, as it is relatively easier to impose such sanctions compared to other more complex diplomatic measures.

Suspending visa-free travel for Georgia would be a significant setback for the country, particularly in terms of its relations with Europe. The ability to travel freely to the EU has been a major achievement for the Georgian people, symbolizing the country’s gradual integration with the Western world. Losing this privilege would not only create practical hardships for Georgian citizens but would also send a powerful message about the EU’s dissatisfaction with the current state of Georgian democracy.

Georgian Government’s Response: Hope for Improved Relations

Despite the growing tensions, the Georgian government remains optimistic that relations with the EU can be improved. Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze recently expressed his belief that the strained relations with Western partners would see significant improvement starting next year. In an interview with Jam News, Kobakhidze suggested that the conclusion of the war in Ukraine, which he believes will happen in 2025, could lead to a normalization of Georgia’s relations with its Western allies.

“We have certain challenges in our relations with partners, but I believe that once the war in Ukraine ends, all problems will be resolved, and relations will return to normal. We have great hope and belief that the war in Ukraine will end next year,” said Prime Minister Kobakhidze.

Kobakhidze has underscored the importance of strong ties between Georgia and the EU, recognizing the crucial role that these relationships play in fostering Georgia’s economic growth and international standing.

“The improvement of relations between Georgia and the EU is crucial. Starting next year, relations between the Georgian government and our partners will significantly improve, which is vital for avoiding any obstacles to economic development.”

Calls for Sanctions and Opposition to Visa-Free Suspension

While some EU countries have called for imposing sanctions on Georgia, including the suspension of visa-free travel, not all European leaders agree that this is the appropriate course of action. In May 2024, a number of EU countries supported the idea of sanctions against Georgia, driven primarily by concerns over the foreign agents law and the country’s shifting political landscape.

However, others have voiced opposition to such measures. Robin Wagener, a member of the German Bundestag, has expressed doubts about whether suspending Georgia’s visa-free travel agreement is the right solution. He believes that punitive measures could further alienate Georgia from the EU and that dialogue and cooperation should be prioritized over sanctions.

Wagener’s stance highlights the differing opinions within Europe on how best to handle the situation in Georgia. While some advocate for a more hardline approach, others believe that sanctions could backfire, potentially pushing Georgia closer to Russia and away from the European path.

What’s at Stake for Georgia?

The possible suspension of visa-free travel for Georgia would have far-reaching consequences, particularly for Georgian citizens who rely on the Schengen visa exemption for business, tourism, and personal travel. The ability to travel freely to the EU is viewed by many Georgians as a symbol of their country’s progress and its aspiration to integrate more closely with Western institutions. Losing this benefit could be seen as a step backward for Georgia’s European ambitions.

Moreover, the suspension of visa-free travel could have economic implications. The EU is a significant trading partner for Georgia, and any deterioration in relations could negatively impact the country’s economy. Tourism, which is a major contributor to Georgia’s economy, could also suffer if EU citizens perceive the country as moving away from democratic principles and closer to authoritarianism.

Conclusion: A Crucial Moment for Georgia’s Future

As Georgia approaches its October 16 parliamentary elections, the country finds itself at a crossroads. The outcome of these elections and the conduct of the electoral process will play a significant role in determining the future of Georgia’s relations with the European Union. If the elections are deemed free and fair, it could help to alleviate some of the concerns that have strained EU-Georgia relations in recent years. However, if violations are found, the suspension of visa-free travel could become a reality.

For Georgia, maintaining strong ties with the EU is vital for both its democratic development and economic prosperity. The coming months will be critical in shaping the future of this relationship, and all eyes will be on Georgia as it navigates this challenging period.

Inputs: Schengen.Visa