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Ontario leads others in fuelling Canada-US cross-border tourism with 746,961 arrivals, by far the highest provincial total in the latest vehicle licence plate data. While a surge in arrivals last month was recorded across Quebec and several smaller provinces rather than Ontario itself, Ontario’s enormous travel volume and 2.3% year-on-year growth keep it firmly at the centre of cross-border tourism between Canada and the US.
The latest provincial vehicle licence plate data shows 746,961 arrivals associated with Ontario, placing the province well ahead of British Columbia and Quebec. Ontario’s sheer volume makes it the most important contributor in the dataset, although its latest monthly movement was actually negative. Arrivals fell 9.5% month on month, while remaining 2.3% higher year on year. This distinction is important: Ontario is fuelling the market through its enormous volume and annual growth, rather than through a month-on-month surge. Meanwhile, Quebec, Alberta, Saskatchewan, Nova Scotia, Yukon and Nunavut all recorded monthly increases.
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Ontario’s dominance becomes clear when its arrival figure is compared with every other Canadian province and territory. Its 746,961 arrivals were nearly three times British Columbia’s 250,708 and more than three-and-a-half times Quebec’s 207,324.
This scale matters for Canada-US tourism because Ontario sits at the heart of one of North America’s most important cross-border travel corridors. Large volumes of road travellers can support hotels, restaurants, attractions, petrol stations, retailers and other businesses connected with the visitor economy.
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However, Ontario’s performance needs careful interpretation. The province recorded a 9.5% month-on-month decline, meaning the latest total was below the previous month’s level. The stronger comparison is annual: Ontario remained 2.3% above the same period a year earlier, showing that its huge cross-border market retained positive year-on-year momentum.
The data shows a heavily concentrated market, with Ontario, British Columbia and Quebec accounting for the overwhelming majority of arrivals among the provinces and territories listed.Province or Territory Number of Arrivals Month-on-Month Change Year-on-Year Change Ontario 746,961 -9.5% +2.3% British Columbia 250,708 -2.2% +8.7% Quebec 207,324 +13.5% +9.7% New Brunswick 96,518 -4.4% +12.4% Alberta 50,579 +8.0% +4.7% Manitoba 41,480 -15.4% -0.6% Saskatchewan 15,638 +3.4% +8.9% Nova Scotia 5,590 +2.0% +11.0% Yukon 5,474 +53.7% +2.4% Prince Edward Island 946 -15.8% +5.3% Newfoundland and Labrador 351 -30.1% -7.1% Northwest Territories 59 -11.9% -23.4% Nunavut 17 +6.3% +13.3%
Together, Ontario, British Columbia and Quebec recorded more than 1.2 million arrivals, illustrating how strongly cross-border road movements are concentrated in Canada’s largest provincial markets.
While Ontario dominates in absolute numbers, Quebec produced the strongest combination of scale and growth among the three largest markets.
Quebec recorded 207,324 arrivals, alongside a 13.5% month-on-month increase and a 9.7% year-on-year rise. This contrasts sharply with Ontario and British Columbia, both of which experienced monthly declines.
The result makes Quebec particularly important when assessing where new momentum is developing. Its arrival base is already substantial, so percentage growth has greater economic significance than similarly large increases in territories with very small traveller volumes.
If this momentum continues, Quebec’s visitor economy could see broader benefits across accommodation, food and beverage businesses, shopping, attractions and road-trip destinations. Its figures demonstrate that Canada’s cross-border tourism picture is not being driven by one province alone.
British Columbia remains Canada’s second-largest provincial market in the dataset, recording 250,708 arrivals. Although this was significantly below Ontario’s total, it remained comfortably ahead of Quebec.
The province experienced a 2.2% month-on-month decrease, but its year-on-year performance was considerably stronger, with arrivals increasing 8.7%. This suggests a similar pattern to Ontario: short-term monthly weakness exists alongside a stronger annual comparison.
British Columbia’s geographical position gives its cross-border road market particular tourism importance. Road movements can feed visitor spending across urban and regional destinations and provide demand for accommodation, restaurants, retail and attractions.
For the tourism industry, the 8.7% annual increase is therefore potentially more significant than the relatively modest monthly decline, especially if positive year-on-year growth continues.
Some of the most eye-catching percentage increases came from markets far smaller than Ontario, British Columbia or Quebec.
New Brunswick recorded 96,518 arrivals, with a strong 12.4% year-on-year increase, despite falling 4.4% from the previous month. Nova Scotia rose 11% year on year, while Saskatchewan increased 8.9%.
Yukon produced the most dramatic monthly movement, climbing 53.7% to 5,474 arrivals. Yet its annual increase was a much more moderate 2.4%.
Key growth markets included:
Nunavut technically recorded the strongest annual percentage increase, at 13.3%, but with only 17 arrivals, the tiny underlying base makes direct comparison with major provinces misleading.
The figures are not universally positive. Manitoba, Newfoundland and Labrador and the Northwest Territories all registered declines on both monthly and annual measurements.
Manitoba recorded 41,480 arrivals, down 15.4% month on month and 0.6% year on year. Newfoundland and Labrador experienced a sharper 30.1% monthly decline and a 7.1% annual fall.
The Northwest Territories recorded only 59 arrivals, but these represented declines of 11.9% month on month and 23.4% year on year.
These results reinforce the uneven nature of the market. National or provincial headline figures can hide significant regional differences. Seasonal travel patterns, geography and the size of each market can also produce large percentage fluctuations, particularly where the underlying number of arrivals is small.
Ontario remains the heavyweight of Canada’s cross-border vehicle market. Its 746,961 arrivals give it a commanding advantage, while positive year-on-year growth indicates that the market remains above its comparable level from a year earlier.
But the wider picture is becoming more diverse. Quebec is combining strong volume with rapid growth, British Columbia remains firmly in second place, and New Brunswick and Nova Scotia are posting notable annual gains.
The key takeaway is therefore not simply that Ontario leads. It is that Canada-US cross-border tourism is moving at different speeds across the country. Ontario provides enormous scale, while Quebec and several smaller markets are providing stronger growth rates.
Ontario leads others in fuelling Canada-US cross-border tourism with 746,961 arrivals, as its unmatched volume and year-on-year growth drive the market, while a surge in arrivals last month across several provinces strengthens Canada’s cross-border travel momentum.
In conclusion, Ontario leads others in fuelling Canada-US cross-border tourism, with 746,961 arrivals confirming its dominant role in the market. Although Ontario experienced a monthly decline rather than a direct surge in arrivals last month, its strong year-on-year growth and unmatched volume continue to drive cross-border travel. The broader surge in arrivals across provinces including Quebec, Alberta and Nova Scotia shows that Canada’s tourism landscape is gaining momentum beyond its largest market. Together, these trends highlight Ontario’s leadership while demonstrating the expanding strength of Canada-US cross-border tourism.
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