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UK, France and more nations are fuelling a European tourism decline in the US in 2026 as a drop in tourist arrivals to New York reflects weaker transatlantic demand, rising travel costs, changing visitor sentiment and broader uncertainty affecting major European source markets. New York recorded a sharp fall in foreign-originating arrivals, with key markets including the UK and France showing significant declines during the first seven months, creating pressure on the city’s high-value international tourism economy.
New York City entered 2026 expecting international tourism to move back towards growth. Instead, the first seven months are revealing a much more difficult story. The supplied New York arrival data show total foreign-originating arrivals falling from 4,903,703 between January and July 2025 to 4,419,377 during the same period of 2026. That represents a decline of about 9.9%, or approximately 484,326 fewer arrivals. The weakness is particularly visible across major European markets. France, the United Kingdom, Spain and Italy all recorded fewer arrivals over the seven-month period. This matters because international visitors punch above their weight economically: NYC Tourism + Conventions says they account for around 50% of tourism spending in the city.
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| Month | 2025 Arrivals | 2026 Arrivals | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 641,101 | 575,229 | -10.3% |
| February | 533,097 | 475,906 | -10.7% |
| March | 633,966 | 593,059 | -6.5% |
| April | 772,160 | 664,037 | -14.0% |
| May | 765,200 | 691,717 | -9.6% |
| June | 723,569 | 676,302 | -6.5% |
| July | 834,610 | 743,127 | -11.0% |
| Jan–July Total | 4,903,703 | 4,419,377 | -9.9% |
The United Kingdom presents another serious challenge because it has historically been New York’s largest overseas source market. The supplied figures show UK-originating arrivals dropping from 638,102 during January–July 2025 to 536,162 this year, a decline of 16.0%. The weakness stretches across every month in the dataset. April fell 23.5%, while July dropped 24.0%, from 110,206 arrivals to 83,787. This reversal is especially striking because UK visitation had increased 1.3% during 2025 as a whole. New York’s official tourism organisation reported that international visitation overall fell 3.2% in 2025, even as the UK bucked that trend. The 2026 airport figures suggest that resilience has become much harder to maintain.
| Month | 2025 | 2026 | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 73,505 | 62,980 | -14.3% |
| February | 81,181 | 67,375 | -17.0% |
| March | 80,081 | 77,600 | -3.1% |
| April | 105,931 | 81,084 | -23.5% |
| May | 98,475 | 82,000 | -16.7% |
| June | 88,723 | 81,336 | -8.3% |
| July | 110,206 | 83,787 | -24.0% |
| Jan–July Total | 638,102 | 536,162 | -16.0% |
France delivers the clearest warning in the dataset. French-originating arrivals fell from 237,636 during January–July 2025 to just 194,351 in 2026, a steep 18.2% contraction. More worrying is the way the decline accelerated towards summer. January was down 11.5%, May fell 20.9%, June dropped 21.2%, and July collapsed 31.5% year on year. July arrivals fell from 40,817 to only 27,970. That is significant for a city where France has traditionally been one of the largest international feeder markets. In 2024, NYC Tourism + Conventions recorded roughly 788,000 French visitors, illustrating how important this market has been to hotels, restaurants, retail and cultural attractions.
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| Month | 2025 | 2026 | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 26,849 | 23,751 | -11.5% |
| February | 29,284 | 24,863 | -15.1% |
| March | 27,804 | 25,780 | -7.3% |
| April | 46,908 | 39,894 | -15.0% |
| May | 35,825 | 28,337 | -20.9% |
| June | 30,149 | 23,756 | -21.2% |
| July | 40,817 | 27,970 | -31.5% |
| Jan–July Total | 237,636 | 194,351 | -18.2% |
Spain’s story is less dramatic than France or Britain, but it still points downwards. Spanish-originating arrivals declined from 158,600 during the first seven months of 2025 to 142,061 in 2026, a fall of 10.4%. March provided the only meaningful interruption, rising 6.0% year on year to 22,543. That recovery did not last. April arrivals dropped 28.1%, followed by declines of 13.7% in May and 18.2% in June. July came close to stabilising, slipping only 0.4%. New York has been actively trying to defend this market: Spain is among the countries targeted by NYC Tourism + Conventions’ global “Where the World Comes to Play” campaign surrounding the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
| Month | 2025 | 2026 | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 17,947 | 17,806 | -0.8% |
| February | 15,915 | 14,440 | -9.3% |
| March | 21,264 | 22,543 | +6.0% |
| April | 31,239 | 22,453 | -28.1% |
| May | 22,737 | 19,624 | -13.7% |
| June | 22,981 | 18,794 | -18.2% |
| July | 26,517 | 26,401 | -0.4% |
| Jan–July Total | 158,600 | 142,061 | -10.4% |
Italy is the strongest performer among these four European markets, yet even it finished the seven-month period in negative territory. Arrivals edged down from 230,116 to 226,588, representing a comparatively modest 1.5% decline. The Italian market also produced genuine bright spots. March increased 17.3% year on year, while May rose 13.8%. But those gains were offset by weakness elsewhere. January declined 8.1%, June fell 9.9%, and July dropped 14.4%. Italy therefore tells a more nuanced story than France or Britain: demand has not collapsed, but the market has struggled to build consistent momentum. That is notable after Italian visitation to NYC grew 5.5% during 2025.
| Month | 2025 | 2026 | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 24,168 | 22,215 | -8.1% |
| February | 19,575 | 18,700 | -4.5% |
| March | 31,400 | 36,843 | +17.3% |
| April | 47,922 | 46,645 | -2.7% |
| May | 32,267 | 36,715 | +13.8% |
| June | 32,432 | 29,210 | -9.9% |
| July | 42,352 | 36,260 | -14.4% |
| Jan–July Total | 230,116 | 226,588 | -1.5% |
There is unlikely to be one single explanation. New York City Tourism + Conventions had previously warned that Western European demand could face pressure from trade tensions and negative sentiment towards US travel. The New York State Comptroller has also pointed to trade and immigration policies, geopolitical instability and other domestic and global issues as factors keeping some international tourists away.
Cost matters as well. New York remains an expensive long-haul destination. In 2025, the city’s average hotel daily rate reached $334, up 5% year on year. Higher accommodation prices add to airfare, food, attractions and exchange-rate considerations confronting European households. Yet pricing alone cannot explain every movement: Italy’s comparatively small 1.5% decline shows that European markets are reacting differently.
New York had hoped 2026’s extraordinary events calendar would help international tourism rebound. The New York-New Jersey region is hosting FIFA World Cup matches, including the Final, while NYC Tourism + Conventions launched an international campaign spanning 20 markets, including France, Italy, Spain and the United Kingdom.
There are signs of improvement, but not enough to declare a turnaround. The NYC Comptroller reported that tourism began picking up modestly from the second week of June as World Cup matches started. However, international arrivals through NYC airports had been running well below 2025 levels during the first five months, and preliminary June figures showed only a limited improvement.
The worrying part is not that New York has suddenly stopped attracting visitors. It has not. The city welcomed 65 million people in 2025 and generated $84.7 billion in total tourism economic impact. Domestic travel remains exceptionally strong, and NYC Tourism + Conventions still projects 66.3 million visitors in 2026, including 12.9 million international travellers.
The problem is the mix. International visitors represented only 12.5 million of 2025’s total but generated roughly half of tourism spending. Losing a French, British, Spanish or Italian visitor can therefore matter disproportionately to hotels, restaurants, Broadway, museums and retailers. With foreign-originating arrivals in the supplied dataset down 9.9% through July, New York’s challenge is no longer simply filling streets and hotel rooms. It is bringing back the high-value international travellers who have long helped make the city one of the world’s great tourism capitals.
UK, France and more nations are fuelling a European tourism decline in the US in 2026 as a drop in tourist arrivals to New York reflects weaker demand, rising travel costs, shifting visitor sentiment and uncertainty across major European markets.
In conclusion, UK, France and more nations are fuelling a European tourism decline in the US in 2026 as a drop in tourist arrivals to New York highlights weaker transatlantic travel demand from key European markets. Rising travel costs, changing visitor sentiment, geopolitical uncertainty and economic pressures are influencing travel decisions, affecting major source markets including the UK, France, Spain and Italy. While New York remains a powerful global destination, the decline in high-value international visitors creates challenges for hotels, attractions, restaurants and retailers. The city’s recovery will depend on rebuilding confidence and restoring momentum across Europe’s crucial travel markets.
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Tags: European travel decline, international visitor arrivals, New York tourism 2026, US tourism trends
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