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US travel recovery to Canada strengthens as Louisiana (+2.6%) and Delaware (+3.7%) end six-month declines, while Georgia (+3.7%), Missouri (+4.3%) and Nebraska (+4.0%) record July 2026 year-on-year growth. Missouri surged 213% MoM and Nebraska 308.6% MoM.
Louisiana, Delaware and more US markets are driving a strong travel recovery to Canada after suffering consecutive drops in the first half of 2026. The turnaround comes as summer demand, road travel and seasonal tourism momentum push arrivals above 2025 levels. Delaware and Louisiana ended six months of year-on-year declines with July growth of 3.7% and 2.6%, while Georgia, Missouri and Nebraska had already returned to positive growth. The data shows that US travel demand to Canada is improving, with warmer months, school holidays and renewed interest in Canadian destinations helping several struggling markets move from contraction towards recovery.
US–Canada cross-border tourism is showing a notable change in direction as the 2026 summer travel season gathers momentum. The state-level data indicate that several US markets which began the year with persistent declines in arrivals to Canada are now returning to year-on-year growth. Delaware and Louisiana remained negative for six consecutive months before rising 3.7% and 2.6% respectively in July, while Georgia, Missouri and Nebraska had already returned to growth in May and stayed positive through July.
The pattern suggests that summer road trips, school holidays, warmer weather and easier access to Canada’s outdoor destinations are helping release travel demand that remained subdued earlier in the year. However, the rebound should be viewed carefully. Strong month-on-month increases are partly seasonal, while the more important signal is that these states are now exceeding their comparable 2025 levels. If that year-on-year improvement continues beyond the peak summer months, it would provide stronger evidence that US travel demand to Canada is moving into a broader recovery phase.
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Louisiana followed a similar path, although its recovery was less dramatic. Arrivals remained below the previous year’s level for six consecutive months, falling 0.7% in January, 18.6% in February, 9.8% in March, 6.5% in April, 9.9% in May and 5.8% in June.
July brought the first positive comparison, with 2,523 arrivals, up 28.0% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year.
The scale of the seasonal rise is striking. Louisiana-plated arrivals increased from just 297 in February to 2,523 in July, more than eight times the February level. But again, the year-on-year figure is the stronger evidence of a bounce-back because it partly controls for normal summer seasonality.
The improvement remains modest at 2.6%. Louisiana therefore looks more like a market emerging from contraction than one experiencing an outright boom. August and autumn figures will be important for establishing whether July marked a durable change.
Month Arrivals MoM YoY Jan 406 -27.4% -0.7% Feb 297 -26.8% -18.6% Mar 480 +61.6% -9.8% Apr 628 +30.8% -6.5% May 1,058 +68.5% -9.9% Jun 1,971 +86.3% -5.8% Jul 2,523 +28.0% +2.6%
Delaware produced one of the clearest comeback stories in the dataset. Arrivals were down year-on-year in every month from January through June, beginning with a steep 31.9% decline in January. The weakness continued at -8.7% in February, -11.0% in March and -4.0% in April before deteriorating sharply again to -37.4% in May and -13.0% in June.
July finally changed the direction. Arrivals climbed to 3,016, up 38.3% from June and 3.7% year-on-year. That was also more than seven times January’s 402 arrivals.
The month-on-month increase should not be read as proof that the underlying market has permanently recovered. Summer naturally brings stronger cross-border road travel, so seasonality is clearly part of the explanation. But the year-on-year move into positive territory is more meaningful: July 2026 did not merely outperform the weak winter months; it also edged above July 2025.
Month Arrivals MoM YoY Jan 402 -63.0% -31.9% Feb 421 +4.7% -8.7% Mar 483 +14.7% -11.0% Apr 989 +104.8% -4.0% May 1,208 +22.1% -37.4% Jun 2,181 +80.5% -13.0% Jul 3,016 +38.3% +3.7%
Georgia’s recovery arrived earlier and is arguably more established.
The state began 2026 with four consecutive year-on-year declines: -14.6% in January, -25.1% in February, -23.8% in March and -20.3% in April. These were not marginal contractions. For three consecutive months, Georgia was roughly one-fifth or more below the previous year’s corresponding level.
May provided the break. Arrivals jumped to 5,543, an 83.2% month-on-month increase, while the annual comparison turned positive at +2.3%. Growth then continued at +2.0% in June and accelerated to +3.7% in July, when arrivals reached 12,416.
The three consecutive positive year-on-year readings are important. They provide stronger evidence of recovery than a single exceptional month. Summer seasonality clearly lifted absolute numbers, but Georgia also progressively moved from substantial annual deficits into modest growth.
Month Arrivals MoM YoY Jan 1,850 -55.1% -14.6% Feb 1,825 -1.4% -25.1% Mar 2,387 +30.8% -23.8% Apr 3,025 +26.7% -20.3% May 5,543 +83.2% +2.3% Jun 10,259 +85.1% +2.0% Jul 12,416 +21.0% +3.7%
Missouri experienced an uneven opening to 2026. Year-on-year arrivals declined 15.9% in January, 7.0% in February and only 0.9% in March, suggesting the gap was almost closed. April unexpectedly pushed the market backwards again, with arrivals falling 20.1% year-on-year.
Then came May.
Arrivals surged from 1,459 in April to 4,567 in May, a month-on-month increase of 213%. More importantly, the annual comparison swung from -20.1% to +10.1%.
That was the strongest initial recovery among these five states. The pace moderated afterwards, but it remained positive: +3.0% in June and +4.3% in July.
The moderation actually makes the trend more credible. May may have contained a particularly strong seasonal release of demand, but continued year-on-year gains in June and July show that the recovery did not disappear once that initial jump passed.
Month Arrivals MoM YoY Jan 1,013 -49.9% -15.9% Feb 947 -6.5% -7.0% Mar 1,560 +64.7% -0.9% Apr 1,459 -6.5% -20.1% May 4,567 +213.0% +10.1% Jun 7,419 +62.4% +3.0% Jul 9,572 +29.0% +4.3%
Nebraska arguably experienced the most dramatic reversal because its early-year comparisons were exceptionally weak.
Arrivals were down 42.0% year-on-year in January, followed by declines of 21.6% in February, 28.9% in March and another 38.1% in April. Nebraska therefore spent four months substantially below its 2025 levels.
May marked a sharp change. Arrivals increased from 474 to 1,937, representing a 308.6% month-on-month jump, while the year-on-year comparison turned positive at +7.1%.
Growth strengthened to 8.0% in June before moderating to 4.0% in July, when arrivals reached 4,055.
That gives Nebraska three consecutive months of annual growth after four consecutive months of contraction. The sequence suggests more than a simple one-month rebound. Seasonal summer demand clearly explains much of the increase in absolute arrivals, but positive year-on-year comparisons indicate 2026 summer traffic was also outperforming the corresponding months of 2025.
Month Arrivals MoM YoY Jan 402 -37.3% -42.0% Feb 410 +2.0% -21.6% Mar 518 +26.3% -28.9% Apr 474 -8.5% -38.1% May 1,937 +308.6% +7.1% Jun 3,135 +61.8% +8.0% Jul 4,055 +29.3% +4.0%
The strongest common factor visible directly in the numbers is seasonality. All five markets accelerate as Canada moves from winter into the peak spring and summer road-travel period.
That is why the huge month-on-month gains — such as Nebraska’s 308.6% or Missouri’s 213% — should not be interpreted by themselves as extraordinary structural tourism growth.
The year-on-year figures provide the better test.
By July, all five states were above their July 2025 levels:
This suggests that the recovery is not purely the normal shift from winter into summer. Each market also exceeded its comparable July level from a year earlier.
| State | Longest 2026 YoY Decline | Worst YoY Month | First Positive Month | July YoY | July Arrivals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | 6 months | -37.4% May | July | +3.7% | 3,016 |
| Louisiana | 6 months | -18.6% Feb | July | +2.6% | 2,523 |
| Georgia | 4 months | -25.1% Feb | May | +3.7% | 12,416 |
| Missouri | 4 months | -20.1% Apr | May | +4.3% | 9,572 |
| Nebraska | 4 months | -42.0% Jan | May | +4.0% | 4,055 |
The broader story is not that travellers from these states suddenly began visiting Canada in July. The numbers show something more measured.
Several US state markets that entered 2026 substantially below their previous-year levels have now moved back into positive annual growth as Canada’s peak summer travel season gains strength.
Georgia, Missouri and Nebraska show the strongest evidence of a sustained turnaround, because each has recorded three consecutive positive year-on-year months from May through July.
Delaware and Louisiana require more caution. July was their first positive year-on-year month after six consecutive declines, so one month alone cannot establish a lasting recovery.
Still, the July figures mark an important change in direction. All five states are now positive year-on-year at the same time, suggesting that some of the US road-travel markets that struggled most during the opening months of 2026 are beginning to return to Canada.
Louisiana, Delaware and more US markets drive a travel recovery to Canada after consecutive drops in the first half, as summer demand, road trips and stronger July arrivals push key states back above 2025 levels.
In conclusion, Louisiana, Delaware and more drive strong US travel recovery to Canada after consecutive drops in the first half as summer travel demand, road trips and seasonal momentum help struggling markets return to growth. The latest figures show that all five tracked states moved above their 2025 levels in July, signalling improving confidence among US travellers. While some markets, including Louisiana and Delaware, require further months of positive results to confirm a lasting recovery, the overall trend shows that Canada is regaining momentum as a preferred destination for American visitors during the peak travel season.
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